FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+7.9pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.0pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.29/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.90
-67% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.10.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
27.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
24.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
03.03.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
12.11.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
20.08.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius squeezed past FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 2.67 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 19%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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