Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-2.9pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 16%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.75
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
23.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.03.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-3 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
01.07.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris got the better of FA Siauliai 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 65%, draw 17%, FA Siauliai 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →