FA Siauliai 2-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
60%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
60%
Away Win
57%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 61%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.60/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.82
+74% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.03.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-3 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
01.07.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai and Kauno Zalgiris shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Kauno Zalgiris carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 44% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 56%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FA Siauliai and 2.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FA Siauliai 2-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 20%, draw 20%, Kauno Zalgiris 60%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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