FK Panevezys 1-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.0pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.85/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.23
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
30.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.09.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
11.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
16.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Panevezys 1-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 58%, draw 19%, Banga Gargzdai 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ BTTS No
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