Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-1.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.16/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.07
+16% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
06.05.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-6 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITK
30.03.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
20.10.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
27.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
24.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius and FK Dainava Alytus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 58% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 42%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 69%, draw 19%, FK Dainava Alytus 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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