Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.1pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.35/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.99
+38% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-6 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITK
30.03.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
20.10.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
27.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
24.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
03.03.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius and FK Dainava Alytus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 57% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 43%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.17 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 54%, draw 25%, FK Dainava Alytus 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5
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