FK Dainava Alytus 0-6 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
12%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-12.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 72%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.36/0.23
-100% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +54%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
20.10.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
27.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
24.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
03.03.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
12.11.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius swept aside FK Dainava Alytus 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 2.50 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-6 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - Cup on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 20%, draw 25%, Zalgiris Vilnius 55%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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