Radomiak Radom 1-3 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.56
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
54%
1.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.35
Over Pick
65%
1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
15%
4.89
2-3
43%
1.91
4-5
31%
2.57
6+
11%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.93
1/2
4%
19.75
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
9%
8.76
X/2
16%
4.69
X/X
13%
6.05
2/1
2%
33.5
2/2
34%
2.27
2/X
5%
12.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Radomiak Radom The Market 28%
Signal
AWAY Lech Poznan The Market 56%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.94
1.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.26 xG 1.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
291 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.04.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 0-2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
26.10.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
16.12.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
30.07.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
24.04.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
1 - 3
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.63 xG 1.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lech Poznan saw off Radomiak Radom 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 54% to 46% in Radomiak Radom's favour, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.74.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Radomiak Radom against 2.17 for Lech Poznan.

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan Result & Final Score

Radomiak Radom 1 - 3 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 23%, draw 23%, Lech Poznan 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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