Backa Topola 1-2 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.82/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.35
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.4 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
354 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2025 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
20.07.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
01.12.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.07.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
03.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.08.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
1-2
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.01 xG 2.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
312 Passes 202
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis nicked a narrow win over Backa Topola 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Backa Topola carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 58% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 42%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.01 to 2.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Radnicki Nis's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Backa Topola and 0.67 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Radnicki Nis?

Backa Topola 1-2 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 55%, draw 26%, Radnicki Nis 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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