Radnicki Nis 1-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.39/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.4 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
222 Passes 383
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
01.12.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.07.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
03.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.08.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
1-1
AWAY Backa Topola
1.46 xG 0.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
259 Passes 387
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis and Backa Topola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 42% of the ball to Backa Topola's 58%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.46 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radnicki Nis and 2.00 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola?

Radnicki Nis 1-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 31%, draw 26%, Backa Topola 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Backa Topola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
23 Nov 2025
15:00 IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani Analysis →
18:00 Javor Ivanjica vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
18:30 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar Analysis →