IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.49/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.49
-26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.9 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
09.03.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
04.12.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRBK
20.10.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
15.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-3
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.71 xG 2.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
424 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
45 Box Touches 22
38 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani got the better of IMT Novi Beograd 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 58% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 42%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.71 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.83 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 44%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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