Xi Mang Hai Phong 4-2 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.0pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
2.07/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.80
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2025 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-1 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
15.06.2025 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 4-2 HT 4-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
21.09.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 1-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
16.06.2024 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 HT 2-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
04.11.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
04.02.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xi Mang Hai Phong
4-2
AWAY Binh Duong
60% Ball Possession 40%
28 Total Shots 7
14 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xi Mang Hai Phong got the better of Binh Duong 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Xi Mang Hai Phong as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Xi Mang Hai Phong had 60% of the ball to Binh Duong's 40%, shots finished 28-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Xi Mang Hai Phong and 1.50 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong?

Xi Mang Hai Phong 4-2 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xi Mang Hai Phong vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xi Mang Hai Phong win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Xi Mang Hai Phong 62%, draw 18%, Binh Duong 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xi Mang Hai Phong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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