APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-4 Marconi Stallions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.0pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/1.20
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marconi Stallions
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.85
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 181
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
17.06.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 1-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
05.03.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-0 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
24.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 1-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
07.05.2022 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 4-1 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
11.04.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Marconi Stallions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions swept aside APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.17 for Marconi Stallions.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Marconi Stallions?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-4 Marconi Stallions in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Marconi Stallions?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 50%, draw 24%, Marconi Stallions 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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