Al Ahed 1-0 Al Hikma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 16 Jun 2026

📅16/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hikma EU Bookmakers 20%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.37/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.37
-30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Hikma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
07.11.2025 Al Hikma Al Hikma 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
16.07.2025 Al Hikma Al Hikma 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
20.06.2025 Al Hikma Al Hikma 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
07.05.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Hikma Al Hikma LUBN
07.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Hikma Al Hikma LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahed
1-0
AWAY Al Hikma
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed squeezed past Al Hikma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ahed had 45% of the ball to Al Hikma's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahed and 1.80 for Al Hikma.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?

Al Ahed 1-0 Al Hikma in the Lebanon - Premier League on 16/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 61%, draw 23%, Al Hikma 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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16 Jun 2026
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