Lexington 1-4 New Mexico United — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USL Championship, 16 Jul 2026

Lexington DWDWL→
1 - 4 HT 0 - 2
New Mexico United WDWWW→
📅16/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 3-2 · 4-1 — 7% together
USL Championship – 2026

Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:10
Match Result
HomeVIEW
61%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
17%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.02
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.69
2-3
45%
1.77
4-5
26%
2.98
6+
8%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Lexington v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lexington The Market 64%
Signal
AWAY New Mexico United The Market 22%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Lexington vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
1W-0D-1L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.02
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
240 Passes 542
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 2-0 Lexington Lexington USLP
15.06.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-1 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP

Lexington 1-4 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
1 - 4
AWAY New Mexico United
1.19 xG 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
260 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lexington vs New Mexico United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

New Mexico United ran out comfortable winners over Lexington 4-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Lexington carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Lexington had 41% of the ball to New Mexico United's 59%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.19 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lexington and 1.50 for New Mexico United.

Lexington vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score

Lexington 1 - 4 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lexington 61%, draw 22%, New Mexico United 17%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
16 Jul 2026
02:00 Miami FC vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:30 Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →