Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lexington 1-4 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United ran out comfortable winners over Lexington 4-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 16 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.19 to 2.17.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lexington and 1.50 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Lexington vs New Mexico United?
Lexington 1-4 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lexington 55%, draw 23%, New Mexico United 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.