New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
New Mexico United 2-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past Lexington 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 63% of the ball to Lexington's 37%, shots finished 4-8.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Lexington?
New Mexico United 2-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 43%, draw 25%, Lexington 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.