Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds edged past Las Vegas Lights 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 49% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 51%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.46 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pittsburgh Riverhounds's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Las Vegas Lights?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 61%, draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.