Loudoun United 2-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.47/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.1 Crosses 15.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.68 xG 1.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
335 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
18.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
30.06.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-0 HT 1-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
01.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
25.06.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-4 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
09.10.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 8-0 HT 3-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
2-2
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.99 xG 1.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 1
376 Passes 214
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United and Tampa Bay Rowdies couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Loudoun United had 62% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 38%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.99 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Loudoun United and 2.33 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Loudoun United 2-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 41%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loudoun United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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