Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
2-4
HT 1-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
8-0
HT 3-0
Loudoun United
USLP
1-4
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Loudoun United nicked a narrow win over Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 51% of the ball to Loudoun United's 49%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.99 to 2.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Loudoun United's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.17 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 41%, draw 27%, Loudoun United 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Under 2.5 went the other way.