Lexington 0-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
6%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 29%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.71/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.0 Crosses 15.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
0-0
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
0.27 xG 0.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
456 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington and Las Vegas Lights played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lexington had 62% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 38%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.27 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights?

Lexington 0-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lexington 39%, draw 28%, Las Vegas Lights 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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