Monterey Bay 2-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.52
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
228 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.5 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 421
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
30.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
27.08.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.07.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
29.05.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 4-2 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
20.03.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
2-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.16 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay squeezed past Colorado Springs 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Monterey Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 46% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 54%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.97 — on chances, Colorado Springs could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.67 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs?

Monterey Bay 2-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 31%, draw 31%, Colorado Springs 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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