San Antonio 1-2 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.49/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.88
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
20.9 Crosses 13.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Miami FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 0.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
190 Passes 294
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 0-1 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
15.05.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 0-2 HT 0-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-2
AWAY Miami FC
0.95 xG 0.97
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
398 Passes 183
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC nicked a narrow win over San Antonio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. San Antonio carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Antonio had 67% of the ball to Miami FC's 33%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Antonio and 0.50 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Miami FC?

San Antonio 1-2 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 61%, draw 21%, Miami FC 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Antonio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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