New Mexico United vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
New Mexico United 1-0 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past North Carolina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, New Mexico United had 77% of the ball to North Carolina's 23%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.03 to 1.30.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs North Carolina?
New Mexico United 1-0 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 41%, draw 25%, North Carolina 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.