Miami FC 2-0 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.7pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.20/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.56
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.9 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Indy Eleven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.85 xG 2.20
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
325 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-2 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
17.04.2025 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC ABDK
16.03.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
29.09.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
13.05.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
03.09.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-0
AWAY Indy Eleven
0.72 xG 0.49
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
449 Passes 348
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Miami FC beat Indy Eleven 2-0 in the USL Championship on 16 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.72 to 0.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Miami FC and 2.50 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?

Miami FC 2-0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated an Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 36%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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