AFC Totton 3-0 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.99
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
20%
3.46
6+
11%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
3-0
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton cruised past Tonbridge Angels 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Totton had 46% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 54%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Tonbridge Angels?

AFC Totton 3-0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 51%, draw 25%, Tonbridge Angels 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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