Chorley 3-0 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Aug 2025

Chorley
3-0 HT 0-0
Chester
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Chorley vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chorley v Chester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.47
+25% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chorley vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Chorley Chorley 3-2 HT 2-2 Chester Chester İCON
23.11.2024 Chester Chester 2-1 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
23.01.2024 Chorley Chorley 0-2 HT 0-2 Chester Chester İCON
15.08.2023 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
07.04.2023 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
27.09.2022 Chorley Chorley 2-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON

Chorley 3-0 Chester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
3-0
AWAY Chester
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley ran out comfortable winners over Chester 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chorley found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chorley had 62% of the ball to Chester's 38%, shots finished 16-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chorley and 1.33 for Chester.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Chester?

Chorley 3-0 Chester in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chorley 40%, draw 30%, Chester 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Aug 2025
17:00 Southport vs Bedford Town Analysis →
17:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →
17:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Hampton & Richmond Analysis →
17:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
17:00 Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →