Southport vs Bedford Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Bedford Town — Team-Based Signals
Southport 3-1 Bedford Town — Actual Match Statistics
Southport beat Bedford Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Southport as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Southport had 65% of the ball to Bedford Town's 35%, shots finished 14-12.
What was the final score of Southport vs Bedford Town?
Southport 3-1 Bedford Town in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Bedford Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Southport 42%, draw 27%, Bedford Town 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.