Chester vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chester v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Chester vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
2-2
HT 0-1
Chester
İCON
1-2
HT 0-2
Chorley
İCON
4-1
HT 3-1
Chester
İCON
Chester squeezed past Chorley 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chester and 1.33 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Chester vs Chorley?
Chester 2-1 Chorley in the England - Conference on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chester vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chester 42%, draw 30%, Chorley 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.