Chorley 0-2 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

Chorley
0-2 HT 0-2
Chester
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Chorley vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chorley v Chester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +23%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.40
+0% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chorley vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Chester
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
07.04.2023 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
27.09.2022 Chorley Chorley 2-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
05.03.2022 Chester Chester 1-2 HT 0-2 Chorley Chorley İCON
11.09.2021 Chorley Chorley 4-1 HT 3-1 Chester Chester İCON
28.12.2020 Chester Chester 1-2 HT 1-2 Chorley Chorley İCON

Chorley 0-2 Chester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
0-2
AWAY Chester
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester got the better of Chorley 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chorley had 47% of the ball to Chester's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Chester.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Chester?

Chorley 0-2 Chester in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chorley 42%, draw 29%, Chester 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chorley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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