Chorley vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Chester — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
2-2
HT 0-1
Chester
İCON
1-2
HT 0-2
Chorley
İCON
Chorley 3-2 Chester — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley nicked a narrow win over Chester 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Chorley found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chorley had 50% of the ball to Chester's 50%, shots finished 9-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chorley and 1.17 for Chester.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Chester?
Chorley 3-2 Chester in the England - Conference on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Chester?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chorley 31%, draw 29%, Chester 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.