Peterborough Sports 0-3 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.91
Over
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.28
2-3
44%
1.73
4-5
22%
3.21
6+
9%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town The Market 31%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-3
AWAY Merthyr Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town cruised past Peterborough Sports 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough Sports at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 49% of the ball to Merthyr Town's 51%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Merthyr Town?

Peterborough Sports 0-3 Merthyr Town in the England - Conference on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 46%, draw 24%, Merthyr Town 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough Sports), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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