Greenock Morton 0-3 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

Greenock Morton
0-3 HT 0-2
Aberdeen
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Greenock Morton vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.73
1/2
7%
21.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
17.25
X/1
10%
10.7
X/2
22%
3.98
X/X
11%
5.67
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
1.95
2/X
6%
15.35
Value flag · 1/X at 17.25 — our 10% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.30
+5% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
– Crosses 28.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Greenock Morton vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 14
The Meetings
22.10.2016 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-2 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
22.08.2012 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen cruised past Greenock Morton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.00 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Aberdeen?

Greenock Morton 0-3 Aberdeen in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 25%, draw 27%, Aberdeen 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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