Partick Thistle 2-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.84
X/2
10%
6.49
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.8
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.72/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.81
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.67 xG 0.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
219 Passes 250
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 0-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
06.05.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.03.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
25.01.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 2-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
07.12.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle saw off Ayr United 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Partick Thistle and 0.67 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Partick Thistle 2-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 43%, draw 25%, Ayr United 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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