Ayr United vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ayr United v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals
Ayr United vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ayr United 0-2 Partick Thistle — Actual Match Statistics
Partick Thistle beat Ayr United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ayr United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Ayr United had 60% of the ball to Partick Thistle's 40%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.60 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ayr United and 0.83 for Partick Thistle.
What was the final score of Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?
Ayr United 0-2 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 42%, draw 27%, Partick Thistle 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.