Partick Thistle vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Partick Thistle v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals
Partick Thistle vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Partick Thistle 0-1 Ayr United — Actual Match Statistics
Ayr United squeezed past Partick Thistle 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Ayr United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Partick Thistle had 55% of the ball to Ayr United's 45%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.33 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.17 for Ayr United.
What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
Partick Thistle 0-1 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 34%, draw 30%, Ayr United 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.