St. Johnstone 0-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.9
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.58
X/2
10%
5.29
X/X
16%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.59
2/X
6%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.91/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.28
+60% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
387 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 3-2 HT 2-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
25.01.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
18.01.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKK
09.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
31.08.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past St. Johnstone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Motherwell found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.50 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

St. Johnstone 0-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 40%, draw 29%, Motherwell 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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