Millwall 0-3 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.68
Over
43%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.65
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
20%
4.04
6+
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.81
X/2
9%
6.55
X/X
18%
4.11
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.01
2/X
5%
13.7
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Millwall The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.30 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.29
0.88 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.26
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.2 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.98
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
281 Passes 402
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
14.12.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
13.01.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-3 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
05.08.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
14.01.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
08.10.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-0 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
0-3
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.60 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
245 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Millwall vs Middlesbrough
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Middlesbrough dismantled Millwall 3-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Middlesbrough found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Millwall had 45% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 55%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millwall and 0.83 for Middlesbrough.

Millwall vs Middlesbrough Result & Final Score

Millwall 0-3 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Millwall 39%, draw 30%, Middlesbrough 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
16 Aug 2025
14:30 Derby County vs Coventry Analysis →
14:30 Portsmouth vs Norwich City Analysis →
14:30 Wrexham vs West Bromwich Analysis →
17:00 Watford vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Preston North End vs Leicester City Analysis →
17:00 Bristol City vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →