Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall squeezed past Middlesbrough 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Millwall found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Millwall had 39% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 61%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.63 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Millwall and 0.83 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Middlesbrough?
Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Millwall 39%, draw 29%, Middlesbrough 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.