Leeds United 2-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Apr 2025

Leeds United
2-1 HT 2-1
Preston North End
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.48
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.2
X/1
14%
3.6
X/2
4%
22.0
X/X
9%
6.98
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
5%
21.6
2/X
5%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
73%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.3pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.03/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.56
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
470 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.4 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Leeds United vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Preston North End
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
361 Passes 189
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
33 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
21.01.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
26.12.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
26.12.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
22.10.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.04.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 0-2 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 2-1 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
2-1
AWAY Preston North End
3.43 xG 0.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
455 Passes 308
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United edged past Preston North End 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leeds United had 58% of the ball to Preston North End's 42%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 3.43 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leeds United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Preston North End?

Leeds United 2-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 68%, draw 19%, Preston North End 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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