Sunderland vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNCL
1-3
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Sunderland
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-2
Swansea City
İNP
Sunderland 0-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City edged past Sunderland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Sunderland had 68% of the ball to Swansea City's 32%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.67 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunderland and 1.83 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Swansea City?
Sunderland 0-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 47%, draw 25%, Swansea City 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunderland) went the other way.