Leek Town 1-0 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Aug 2025

Leek Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Morpeth Town
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2025/2026

Leek Town vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leek Town v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.23/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.44
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Leek Town vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leek Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Morpeth Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Leek Town Leek Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP

Leek Town 1-0 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leek Town
1-0
AWAY Morpeth Town
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town nicked a narrow win over Morpeth Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Leek Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leek Town had 40% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 60%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Morpeth Town?

Leek Town 1-0 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 37%, draw 25%, Morpeth Town 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
16 Aug 2025
00:00 Bracknell Town vs Poole Town Analysis →
00:00 Spalding United vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
17:00 Needham Market vs Worcester City Analysis →
17:00 Halesowen Town vs Real Bedford Analysis →
17:00 Kettering Town vs Barwell Analysis →
17:00 Banbury United vs Leiston Analysis →