SSC Giugliano 4-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
4-1
AWAY Pianese
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano cruised past Pianese 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day SSC Giugliano made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 51% of the ball to Pianese's 49%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Pianese?

SSC Giugliano 4-1 Pianese in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 38%, draw 26%, Pianese 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Giugliano) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✗ Under 2.5
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