Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
30%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.69
4-5 Goals
18%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+13.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Triestina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 3-0 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
24.08.2024 Triestina Triestina 3-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
30.03.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
25.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-1 HT 2-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
08.01.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
05.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2-1
AWAY Triestina
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo nicked a narrow win over Triestina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 40% of the ball to Triestina's 60%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.50 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina?

Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 Triestina in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 50%, draw 21%, Triestina 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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