Pergolettese 1-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
5.14
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-16% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Renate Renate 2-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
07.12.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
20.01.2024 Renate Renate 1-5 HT 1-2 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
16.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
12.03.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
06.11.2022 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-1
AWAY Renate
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese and Renate couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pergolettese at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pergolettese had 54% of the ball to Renate's 46%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pergolettese and 0.67 for Renate.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Renate?

Pergolettese 1-1 Renate in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 41%, draw 26%, Renate 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pergolettese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTCK More Italy - Pro League Cup
16 Aug 2025
19:00 Arezzo vs Bra Analysis →
19:00 SSC Giugliano vs Pianese Analysis →
19:00 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina Analysis →
19:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
19:00 GIANA Erminio vs Atalanta II Analysis →
19:00 Rossoblu Potenza vs Cavese Analysis →