GIANA Erminio 1-4 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 34%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.07/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-95% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 2-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
04.10.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-3 HT 0-2 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
20.01.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
15.09.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 3-2 HT 2-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-4
AWAY Atalanta II
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II swept aside GIANA Erminio 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 43% of the ball to Atalanta II's 57%, shots finished 14-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.25 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Atalanta II?

GIANA Erminio 1-4 Atalanta II in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 41%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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