Sambenedettese 2-0 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sambenedettese
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.03.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-3 HT 1-3 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
14.11.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 2-0 HT 2-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
18.01.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
08.09.2019 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 1-1 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sambenedettese
2-0
AWAY Vis Pesaro
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sambenedettese beat Vis Pesaro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sambenedettese as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sambenedettese had 52% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 48%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sambenedettese and 1.00 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro?

Sambenedettese 2-0 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sambenedettese 41%, draw 27%, Vis Pesaro 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sambenedettese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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