Hansa Rostock 0-4 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.44
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
1/X
6%
17.3
X/1
8%
11.3
X/2
19%
4.05
X/X
5%
6.36
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.86
2/X
6%
15.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.4pp
61%
Away Win
61%
-0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.5pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 66%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.65/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.71
-46% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -28%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 83%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.1
13.1 Crosses 31.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14.08.2010 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-4 HT 0-4 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AFK
29.01.2008 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
0-4
AWAY Hoffenheim
0.74 xG 2.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
174 Passes 392
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim cruised past Hansa Rostock 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoffenheim as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 34% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 66%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.74 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hansa Rostock and 3.00 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Hoffenheim?

Hansa Rostock 0-4 Hoffenheim in the Germany - DFB Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 22%, draw 18%, Hoffenheim 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFK More Germany - DFB Cup
16 Aug 2025
00:00 Illertissen vs Nürnberg Analysis →
14:00 BFC Dynamo vs Bochum Analysis →
14:00 Pirmasens vs Hamburg Analysis →
16:30 Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig Analysis →
16:30 Hemelingen vs Wolfsburg Analysis →
16:30 Bahlinger SC vs Heidenheim Analysis →