Sandhausen 2-4 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 16 Aug 2025

Sandhausen
2-4 HT 2-2
RB Leipzig
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
70%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
8.99
2-3 Goals
26%
2.47
4-5 Goals
37%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
3.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
30.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.85
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
3%
34.5
X/2
13%
4.01
X/X
10%
13.65
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
48%
1.2
2/X
5%
30.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+5.7pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.3pp
70%
Away Win
85%
-14.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandhausen v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 91%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.79/2.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.34/0.72
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 550 · 87%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.7
13.5 Crosses 20.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.9

Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.84 xG 3.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
151 Passes 404
54% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
07.08.2021 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-4 HT 0-2 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AFK
15.04.2016 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
01.11.2015 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-2 HT 1-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2
08.05.2015 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-4 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
30.11.2014 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2

Sandhausen 2-4 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
2-4
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.57 xG 2.02
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
123 Passes 480
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 62
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig got the better of Sandhausen 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Sandhausen had 25% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 75%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.57 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sandhausen and 1.20 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig?

Sandhausen 2-4 RB Leipzig in the Germany - DFB Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 11%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 70%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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