Pirmasens 1-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
78%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
2%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
50%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.6pp
10%
Draw
8%
+3.0pp
78%
Away Win
88%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pirmasens EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -42%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 511 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.6
Crosses 22.5
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pirmasens
1-2
AWAY Hamburg
3.03 xG 2.17
25% Ball Possession 75%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 13
134 Passes 640
53% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 42
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pirmasens vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg edged past Pirmasens 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pirmasens had 25% of the ball to Hamburg's 75%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 3.03 to 2.17 — on chances, Pirmasens could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Pirmasens vs Hamburg?

Pirmasens 1-2 Hamburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pirmasens vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Pirmasens 11%, draw 10%, Hamburg 78%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5
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