Illertissen 3-3 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
64%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
64%
Away Win
66%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +85%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
Crosses 33.6
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illertissen
3-3
AWAY Nürnberg
22% Ball Possession 78%
6 Total Shots 37
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 11
145 Passes 800
58% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen and Nürnberg shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Nürnberg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Illertissen had 22% of the ball to Nürnberg's 78%, shots finished 6-37.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Nürnberg?

Illertissen 3-3 Nürnberg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 16%, draw 20%, Nürnberg 64%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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